Chance of Wrong · forecast accuracy

Tracking Xweather forecasts vs actuals for 50 US state capitals

← Dashboard · Tennessee · America/Chicago · 36.16, -86.78

Latest observation
70.0°F
2026-09-22 10:00 CDT · temp 70.0°F · feels 70.0°F · RH 94% · dew 68.0°F · wind 6.0 mph
Hour samples (7d)
184
Temperature matches
Temp MAE
2.23°
Earliest forecast vs actual

Hourly accuracy — Temperature

Click an hour to load its forecast evolution above. Switch metrics with the control above.

Hour (local) Forecast Actual Error Lead (h)
2026-09-22 10:00 CDT 80.0°F 70.0°F +10.0° 48.0
2026-09-22 09:00 CDT 77.0°F 70.0°F +7.0° 48.0
2026-09-22 08:00 CDT 74.0°F 70.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-22 07:00 CDT 71.0°F 70.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-22 06:00 CDT 72.0°F 72.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-22 05:00 CDT 72.0°F 72.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-22 04:00 CDT 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-22 03:00 CDT 74.0°F 75.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-22 02:00 CDT 75.0°F 77.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-22 01:00 CDT 76.0°F 79.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-09-22 00:00 CDT 77.0°F 79.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 23:00 CDT 78.0°F 82.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 22:00 CDT 79.0°F 81.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 21:00 CDT 82.0°F 84.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 20:00 CDT 84.0°F 84.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 19:00 CDT 87.0°F 88.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 18:00 CDT 90.0°F 91.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 17:00 CDT 93.0°F 95.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 16:00 CDT 96.0°F 95.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 15:00 CDT 96.0°F 97.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 14:00 CDT 96.0°F 95.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 13:00 CDT 96.0°F 95.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 12:00 CDT 92.0°F 93.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 11:00 CDT 89.0°F 84.0°F +5.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 10:00 CDT 87.0°F 84.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 09:00 CDT 83.0°F 82.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 08:00 CDT 78.0°F 73.0°F +5.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 07:00 CDT 74.0°F 72.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 06:00 CDT 75.0°F 75.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 05:00 CDT 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 04:00 CDT 77.0°F 73.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 03:00 CDT 78.0°F 75.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 02:00 CDT 78.0°F 77.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 01:00 CDT 79.0°F 79.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-21 00:00 CDT 80.0°F 79.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 23:00 CDT 82.0°F 79.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 22:00 CDT 83.0°F 79.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 21:00 CDT 86.0°F 84.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 20:00 CDT 90.0°F 91.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 19:00 CDT 93.0°F 91.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 18:00 CDT 95.0°F 95.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 17:00 CDT 97.0°F 97.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 16:00 CDT 99.0°F 97.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 15:00 CDT 98.0°F 97.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 14:00 CDT 98.0°F 90.0°F +8.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 13:00 CDT 97.0°F 90.0°F +7.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 12:00 CDT 94.0°F 86.0°F +8.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 11:00 CDT 91.0°F 82.0°F +9.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 10:00 CDT 88.0°F 77.0°F +11.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 09:00 CDT 84.0°F 81.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 08:00 CDT 79.0°F 79.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 07:00 CDT 75.0°F 77.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 06:00 CDT 76.0°F 75.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 05:00 CDT 76.0°F 75.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 04:00 CDT 77.0°F 77.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 03:00 CDT 78.0°F 77.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 02:00 CDT 79.0°F 77.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 01:00 CDT 80.0°F 75.0°F +5.0° 48.0
2026-09-20 00:00 CDT 81.0°F 77.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 23:00 CDT 81.0°F 79.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 22:00 CDT 82.0°F 79.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 21:00 CDT 85.0°F 86.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 20:00 CDT 88.0°F 95.0°F -7.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 19:00 CDT 92.0°F 95.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 18:00 CDT 94.0°F 95.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 17:00 CDT 96.0°F 97.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 16:00 CDT 98.0°F 99.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 15:00 CDT 98.0°F 99.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 14:00 CDT 98.0°F 97.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 13:00 CDT 97.0°F 97.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 12:00 CDT 94.0°F 90.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 11:00 CDT 92.0°F 90.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 10:00 CDT 89.0°F 81.0°F +8.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 09:00 CDT 84.0°F 81.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 08:00 CDT 80.0°F 73.0°F +7.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 07:00 CDT 75.0°F 72.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 06:00 CDT 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 05:00 CDT 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 04:00 CDT 77.0°F 73.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 03:00 CDT 78.0°F 73.0°F +5.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 02:00 CDT 79.0°F 75.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 01:00 CDT 80.0°F 75.0°F +5.0° 48.0
2026-09-19 00:00 CDT 81.0°F 77.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 23:00 CDT 82.0°F 79.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 22:00 CDT 83.0°F 82.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 21:00 CDT 86.0°F 91.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 20:00 CDT 90.0°F 91.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 19:00 CDT 93.0°F 91.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 18:00 CDT 95.0°F 99.0°F -4.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 17:00 CDT 97.0°F 99.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 16:00 CDT 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 15:00 CDT 98.0°F 99.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 14:00 CDT 98.0°F 99.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 13:00 CDT 97.0°F 97.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 12:00 CDT 95.0°F 93.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 11:00 CDT 92.0°F 91.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 10:00 CDT 89.0°F 88.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 09:00 CDT 84.0°F 82.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 08:00 CDT 80.0°F 77.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 07:00 CDT 75.0°F 73.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 06:00 CDT 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 05:00 CDT 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 04:00 CDT 77.0°F 73.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 03:00 CDT 78.0°F 75.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 02:00 CDT 79.0°F 75.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 01:00 CDT 80.0°F 77.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-18 00:00 CDT 80.0°F 79.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 23:00 CDT 82.0°F 79.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 22:00 CDT 83.0°F 82.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 21:00 CDT 86.0°F 86.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 20:00 CDT 90.0°F 88.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 19:00 CDT 93.0°F 91.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 18:00 CDT 95.0°F 95.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 17:00 CDT 97.0°F 79.0°F +18.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 16:00 CDT 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 15:00 CDT 99.0°F 97.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 14:00 CDT 97.0°F 95.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 13:00 CDT 96.0°F 95.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 12:00 CDT 94.0°F 93.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 11:00 CDT 91.0°F 91.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 10:00 CDT 89.0°F 90.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 09:00 CDT 85.0°F 84.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 08:00 CDT 80.0°F 79.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 07:00 CDT 75.0°F 73.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 06:00 CDT 76.0°F 75.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 05:00 CDT 76.0°F 75.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 04:00 CDT 77.0°F 77.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 03:00 CDT 78.0°F 77.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 02:00 CDT 79.0°F 77.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 01:00 CDT 80.0°F 81.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-17 00:00 CDT 81.0°F 79.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 23:00 CDT 82.0°F 81.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 22:00 CDT 83.0°F 82.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 21:00 CDT 86.0°F 84.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 20:00 CDT 90.0°F 86.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 19:00 CDT 93.0°F 95.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 18:00 CDT 95.0°F 95.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 17:00 CDT 96.0°F 95.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 16:00 CDT 98.0°F 93.0°F +5.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 15:00 CDT 97.0°F 93.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 14:00 CDT 96.0°F 95.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 13:00 CDT 95.0°F 93.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 12:00 CDT 93.0°F 93.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 11:00 CDT 90.0°F 86.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 10:00 CDT 88.0°F 86.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 09:00 CDT 84.0°F 84.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 08:00 CDT 80.0°F 81.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 07:00 CDT 76.0°F 77.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 06:00 CDT 77.0°F 77.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 05:00 CDT 77.0°F 79.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 04:00 CDT 78.0°F 79.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 03:00 CDT 79.0°F 79.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 02:00 CDT 79.0°F 79.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 01:00 CDT 80.0°F 81.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-16 00:00 CDT 81.0°F 81.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 23:00 CDT 82.0°F 82.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 22:00 CDT 83.0°F 81.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 21:00 CDT 86.0°F 84.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 20:00 CDT 89.0°F 86.0°F +3.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 19:00 CDT 92.0°F 97.0°F -5.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 18:00 CDT 94.0°F 97.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 17:00 CDT 97.0°F 97.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 16:00 CDT 99.0°F 97.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 15:00 CDT 98.0°F 97.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 14:00 CDT 96.0°F 97.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 13:00 CDT 95.0°F 97.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 12:00 CDT 93.0°F 93.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 11:00 CDT 90.0°F 93.0°F -3.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 10:00 CDT 88.0°F 79.0°F +9.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 09:00 CDT 83.0°F 79.0°F +4.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 08:00 CDT 77.0°F 75.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 07:00 CDT 72.0°F 72.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 06:00 CDT 72.0°F 70.0°F +2.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 05:00 CDT 73.0°F 72.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 04:00 CDT 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 03:00 CDT 74.0°F 73.0°F +1.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 02:00 CDT 75.0°F 75.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 01:00 CDT 76.0°F 77.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-15 00:00 CDT 77.0°F 79.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-14 23:00 CDT 78.0°F 79.0°F -1.0° 48.0
2026-09-14 22:00 CDT 79.0°F 81.0°F -2.0° 48.0
2026-09-14 21:00 CDT 82.0°F 82.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-14 20:00 CDT 84.0°F 84.0°F +0.0° 48.0
2026-09-14 19:00 CDT 87.0°F 87.0°F +0.0° 48.0

Daily forecast evolution — 2026-09-17

How the forecasted daily high and low for this local calendar day changed each time we re-collected, until the day ended. The series starts once the hourly window covers the date (not the first overnight hour). Lead time is hours until local midnight (end of day). After the day’s high (or low) has already been observed, later snapshots freeze at max/min of remaining forecast hours and observations so far — so evening “highs” do not collapse to leftover cooler hours. Final actuals: high 99.0°F , low 73.0°F. · Clear date

Daily high forecast vs actual

Each point is the expected daily high at that collection time (remaining forecast hours ∪ observations so far). After the peak is observed, the high freezes instead of dropping with evening hours. Lead time is hours until local midnight. Green dashed = finalized actual high.

97°98°100°101°102° 53h38h23h7h-8h-23h actual 99.0°F Lead time (hours)
Forecast Actual
Daily high error (forecast − actual)

Positive = forecast high too warm; negative = too cool. Post-peak points stay near zero once the high has been observed. Move the cursor across the chart for details.

-2°-1°+0°+1°+2° 53h38h23h7h-8h-23h Lead time (hours)
Daily low forecast vs actual

Each point is the expected daily low at that collection time (remaining forecast hours ∪ observations so far). After the low is observed, it freezes instead of rising with warmer hours. Lead time is hours until local midnight. Green dashed = finalized actual low.

71°73°75°76°78° 53h38h23h7h-8h-23h actual 73.0°F Lead time (hours)
Forecast Actual
Daily low error (forecast − actual)

Positive = forecast low too warm; negative = too cool. After the low is observed, later points stay near zero. Move the cursor across the chart for details.

-4°-2°+0°+2°+4° 53h38h23h7h-8h-23h Lead time (hours)
Collected at (local) Lead (h) Fcst high Act high High err Fcst low Act low Low err
2026-09-15 19:00 CDT 53.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-15 20:00 CDT 52.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-15 21:00 CDT 51.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-15 22:00 CDT 50.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-15 23:00 CDT 49.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 00:00 CDT 48.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 01:00 CDT 47.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 02:00 CDT 46.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 03:00 CDT 45.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 04:00 CDT 44.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 05:00 CDT 43.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 06:00 CDT 42.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 07:00 CDT 41.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 08:00 CDT 40.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 09:00 CDT 39.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 10:00 CDT 38.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 11:00 CDT 37.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 12:00 CDT 36.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 13:00 CDT 35.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 14:00 CDT 34.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 15:00 CDT 33.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 16:00 CDT 32.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 17:00 CDT 31.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 18:00 CDT 30.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 19:00 CDT 29.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 20:00 CDT 28.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 21:00 CDT 27.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 22:00 CDT 26.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 23:00 CDT 25.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-17 00:00 CDT 24.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-17 01:00 CDT 23.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-17 02:00 CDT 22.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-17 03:00 CDT 21.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-17 04:00 CDT 20.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-17 05:00 CDT 19.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 75.0°F 73.0°F +2.0°
2026-09-17 06:00 CDT 18.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 75.0°F 73.0°F +2.0°
2026-09-17 07:00 CDT 17.0 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 08:00 CDT 16.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 09:00 CDT 15.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 10:00 CDT 14.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 11:00 CDT 13.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 12:00 CDT 12.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 13:00 CDT 11.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 14:00 CDT 10.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 15:00 CDT 9.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 16:00 CDT 8.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 17:00 CDT 7.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 18:00 CDT 6.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 19:00 CDT 5.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 20:00 CDT 4.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 21:00 CDT 3.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 22:00 CDT 2.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-17 23:00 CDT 1.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 00:00 CDT 0.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 01:00 CDT -1.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 02:00 CDT -2.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 03:00 CDT -3.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 04:00 CDT -4.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 05:00 CDT -5.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 06:00 CDT -6.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 07:00 CDT -7.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 08:00 CDT -8.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 09:00 CDT -9.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 10:00 CDT -10.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 11:00 CDT -11.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 12:00 CDT -12.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 13:00 CDT -13.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 14:00 CDT -14.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 15:00 CDT -15.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 16:00 CDT -16.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 17:00 CDT -17.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 18:00 CDT -18.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 19:00 CDT -19.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 20:00 CDT -20.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 21:00 CDT -21.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 22:00 CDT -22.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-18 23:00 CDT -23.0 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 73.0°F 73.0°F +0.0°

Daily high / low

Earliest forecast that already covers the local date (morning low and afternoon high), not the first overnight hour at the edge of the hourly window, vs finalized calendar-day max/min (only after the local day ends). Click a date to see how the high/low forecast evolved toward the actual.

Local date Fcst high Act high High err Fcst low Act low Low err
2026-09-21 96.0°F 97.0°F -1.0° 74.0°F 72.0°F +2.0°
2026-09-20 99.0°F 97.0°F +2.0° 75.0°F 75.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-19 98.0°F 99.0°F -1.0° 75.0°F 72.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-18 99.0°F 99.0°F +0.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-17 100.0°F 99.0°F +1.0° 76.0°F 73.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-16 98.0°F 95.0°F +3.0° 77.0°F 77.0°F +0.0°
2026-09-15 99.0°F 97.0°F +2.0° 72.0°F 70.0°F +2.0°
2026-09-14 92.0°F 94.0°F -2.0° 71.0°F 73.0°F -2.0°
2026-09-13 93.0°F 95.0°F -2.0° 71.0°F 68.0°F +3.0°
2026-09-12 91.0°F 91.0°F +0.0° 72.0°F 73.0°F -1.0°
2026-09-11 93.0°F 93.0°F +0.0° 72.0°F 73.0°F -1.0°
2026-09-10 95.0°F 95.0°F +0.0° 74.0°F 77.0°F -3.0°
2026-09-09 95.0°F 95.0°F +0.0° 72.0°F 75.0°F -3.0°
2026-09-08 93.0°F 95.0°F -2.0° 71.0°F 75.0°F -4.0°